How It’ll Be

October 31, 2011

This weekend I had a home emergency that got me thinking about the possibilities of technologies like IVR in our daily lives. Specifically, I pictured a future where nearly everything is automated.

In Japan, apartments and homes are becoming “smart,” much more so than in North America. Evidently, toilets are really big over there. They’re electric now with a variety of features including heated seats, built-in bidets and hot-air driers.

I know, right? On House Hunters International, a guy was looking at apartments in Tokyo, and there was automation in places I wouldn’t have thought, including the crazy Swiss Army knife toilet.

So this weekend…

I was making dinner and a pipe basically blew under my kitchen sink. The water stop (the valve that shuts off the water from the pipe sticking out of the wall) broke off from the pipe.

Scalding hot water came rushing out of the pipe like a garden hose, immediately flooding my kitchen and part of my living room. (It also went down to the apartments below me. In fact, most of the water went down on the really nice lady below me.)

I was instantly thrust into a crisis. I had to stop the water with no way to stop it other than shoving a ball of grocery bags into the scalding spout and holding it there while I called the maintenance people. (My phone got wet and barely worked. I kept having to yell which apartment I was in.)

Not gonna lie, it was a nightmare. I was soaked, my apartment was flooding, I was getting burned by the water, it was hard to hold the water back (it kept leaking out no matter what I did). Ugh.

Anyway, I called the emergency maintenance number, which is a beeper. One of the maintenance guys called me back in like ten minutes. I yelled at him over the noise of the water to shut the water off in the entire building. He called someone in the building to run down and turn the water off. Five or ten minutes later the water stopped.

All things considering, it was a quick process getting the water shut off. I was maybe holding it back for like half an hour. But I can’t help thinking it’ll be quicker in the future.

Here’s what I picture: I call an IVR and tell it what was happening, the IVR immediately calls the onsite guy with a message (it could even be my message), the onsite guy shuts the water off via his smartphone over a cloud-based system that monitors and controls the building’s water, heat, electricity, et cetera.

I’m not complaining about how things went. I’m just idly daydreaming about the future when nearly everything is automated.

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All-Hallow’s-Eve

October 31, 2011

There are various myths and legends surrounding Halloween.  Some say it is one of the oldest holidays, originally celebrated to mark the end of the harvest and the beginning of winter.  Others say that it is the time when the physical and metaphysical realms are closest together.  Others find it a day to dress up and go trick-or-treating, which typically results in lots of sweets.

Halloween is indeed celebrated (albeit in different variations) around the world.  Most scholars agree that Halloween’s origins date back over 2,000 years ago to the Celts who used the day to mark the end of summer and the beginning of winter.  They recognized the holiday as a commemoration of the New Year.  In order to ward off the ghosts roaming the Earth for this one night, they would light bonfires and wear costumes.

In the 700s, Pope Gregory declared the first day of November All Saints Day, which became a day to honor all saints and martyrs within Christianity.  Halloween continues to be celebrated in different ways around the world.  In Scotland and Ireland, where the tradition began thousands of years ago, children often dress up in costumes, attend parties, and even have fireworks displays.  Due to migration and immigration to America, many of these traditions were carried over to the “new world”.

North America has perhaps had the biggest influence on the holiday, promulgating traditions like dressing up in costumes, trick-or-treating throughout neighborhoods, and visiting haunted attractions.  Many countries have drawn on the North American influence to shape their own Halloween celebrations that are often times very similar to the ones observed in the United States and Canada.

For people living thousands of years ago, Halloween represented a time of extreme uncertainty due to the long winter months that typically follow.  Instead of planting, growing, and harvesting crops, ancient people had to remain fairly sedentary during the winter months in order to conserve energy and stay warm.  Many animals also hibernate throughout the winter, making hunting prospects slim if at all.  Fear and uncertainty surrounding the winter months is quite understandable for people who maintain a limited food supply and live off the land.

As societies modernized, the fear of starvation, malnutrition, and freezing temperatures became less and less, which some people think facilitated the transition of a harvest-focused holiday to one more in tune with popular culture.  All of Halloween’s scary offerings probably have their root in fears over winter, which then evolved when various modernizations became available.

So can technology, most relevantly interactive voice response technology, aid Halloween celebrators in formulating plans, finding out about parties, buying candy, and having a safe and fun-filled holiday?  Users could merely call in to an IVR that has been set up to take their zip code, ask several simple questions about their needs, and then automatically point customers in the right direction.

Instead of standing around looking for something to do, people can call or text and receive event information immediately.  IVRs could be equipped with both driving and walking directions, general recommendations based primarily on location, report potentially dangerous situations and even check weather reports.

Preparation is, for many, the key to a having a good holiday and Halloween is no exception!  To everyone handing out candy, going to a costume party or trick-or-treating, have a happy and safe Halloween!

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Good Job Netflix?

October 28, 2011

We have discussed Netflix’s many missteps as of late.  First they decided to drastically up their prices for streaming services and mail delivery, with some plans going up by almost 60%. As a result of that price hike, Netflix lost hundreds of thousands of subscribers and their stock plummeted rapidly.

In an attempt to rectify that mistake, they then announced they would split streaming and mail delivery in to two separate brands, which caused further outrage because order queues would be independent of one another, and users would have to manage two different queues in two different brands.  Less than month after that plan was announced, it was discarded because of intense backlash.

Netflix CEO Reed Hastings has openly admitted that some of the recent changes have been a mistake and apologized to the Netflix client base.  However, Hastings has justified his company’s actions, saying that they must move fast to capitalize on the enormous opportunities that the streaming service offers: “The world is moving towards faster Internet connections and mobile devices and Netflix has to be positioned to seize the opportunities these changes represent.  That means moving fast, making mistakes and focusing on the digital side of the business, rather than the still-lucrative DVD arm of the company”.

While many of us are probably skeptical of Hasting’s declarations (I for one much prefer to watch a movie on a nice TV as opposed to waiting for a video to buffer or pixilate on my computer or mobile phone), his business savvy was proven in part today with the release of some new statistics.  According to Mashable, Netflix accounts for 32.7% of peak U.S. downstream traffic, which is considered to be the hours between 6p and 10p.

Basically, that means that a third of data being sent from a network service provider to a customer was being sent by Netflix in the U.S. during peak traffic hours.  While the survey does not elaborate on how much TOTAL traffic the U.S. experiences on average during peak hours, this is no doubt a pretty huge number.

More interesting than Netflix’s share of the downstream market is the way people are accessing it.  Fifty-five percent of traffic volume was generated from game consoles, smart TVs and mobile devices.  Only 45% is being accessed from laptops or PCs.  Considering the fact that many of these devices just recently acquired mobile broadband capabilities compared to computers, this is a pretty shocking statistic.  People are using multiple types of devices to access streaming services from virtually anywhere.

I won’t congratulate Netflix just yet; they have a long way to go before I’ll praise their business model after all of the drama this year.  However, Hastings wasn’t wrong about targeting at least part of their business towards the Internet and broadband.  It remains to be seen whether this streaming-targeted model will prove to be successful.

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Broadband a Basic Right?

October 28, 2011

One of the things the FCC does is work to ensure that every American has access to the Public Switched Telephone Network (PSTN) for telephone communications.

The FCC considers it a basic right for all Americans. But what about broadband? It seems like the Internet is important enough now that legislators are starting to see it as a basic right too.

Actually, it’s not a novel idea. In July 2010, the government of Finland made it a legal right in that country. Granted, Finland has one of the highest Internet penetration rates of any nation, with 83% of Finns having Internet access (78% of Americans do). And Finland was also the first country to make broadband a legal right.

But it shows where we’re headed. The Finns hope to give everyone in their country a 100Mbps connection by 2015, according to the BBC. (Of course, there are only 5 or so million Finns, but still…it’s progressive thinking.)

Yesterday the FCC overhauled its $4.5 billion Universal Service Fund to help bring broadband to rural areas. The key target areas are American Indian tribal lands, the Appalachians, the Mississippi Delta and Alaska, particularly native Alaskan villages.

According to CBSNews, there are about 9.2 million American households (about 26 million people) without access to wired broadband services. Obviously, the FCC is working to help those households.

Of course, not everyone is a fan of this overhaul…

For one thing, the changes will raise rates for all landlines by as little as 15 cents or as much as 50 cents per month, depending on whom you ask (the FCC is on the low end—no surprise).

Also, some people question why the FCC only gave $500 million of the $4.5 billion to mobile broadband, which runs counter to the goal of universal broadband across America.

“Wireless is the most efficient and timely deployment option to meet that goal,” Eric Graham of C Spire Wireless told PCWorld. “Yet the FCC’s inability to untether itself from the wireline monopoly model of the last century deals a tragic blow to our nation’s competitiveness at home and abroad.”

For us in the IVR industry, the rate hike on landlines alone could have a big effect. Fifteen or fifty cents a month may not be a big deal for families, but it could be big for companies with call centers and high volumes of calls every month.

Anyway, it looks as though the U.S. is heading the way of Finland. However we get there, it makes sense to me—broadband is our present and future, so there’s no sense waiting on it.

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The Craigslist…Awards

October 27, 2011

There’s the Darwin Awards for people who hurt themselves doing stupid things, like getting hit by an SUV while playing real-life Frogger. And there’s the Slashie Award from Zoolander for the best “Actor/Model” (as opposed to Model/Actor—the distinction is important).

We should have the Craigslist Awards—awards for people who get up to crazy shenanigans using Craigslist. Actually, they’re the Craigslist You Don’t Need to Reproduce In Fact Please Don’t Awards, but Craigies for short.

And we have our first winner! Kevin Gaylor, 24, of Colorado Springs, Colorado, come on up and accept your award!

How did Gaylor win a Craigslist Award? It’s a lulu. He was evidently using Craigslist to find partners for extra-curricular activities behind his girlfriend’s back. Yep. Great guy.

He invited over a Craigslist acquaintance at 3 a.m. one evening/morning (I wonder what other things that girl’s done that might vie for a Craigy), but his girlfriend showed up right before the Craigslist honey.

Gaylor’s solution? He called the police and told them the girl was a burglar with a weapon. Ooof. Five police cruisers showed up, according to the Denver Westword.

The police obviously grabbed the girl (and probably none too delicately if the show COPS is at all accurate), but they soon realized she was innocent (well, you know…of a crime). I wonder what gave it away. Burglars don’t usually wear clear plastic high heels?

(I have no idea what she was wearing and she could be the sweetest girl in the world, but who meets a guy off Craigslist at 3 a.m.? To get “better acquainted,” according to the police report.)

Regardless, how was calling the police on that girl the only option with all the possible communication avenues available to Gaylor today? A quick text not possible?

But there you are. The first Craigslist Award given to Kevin Gaylor of Colorado Springs for being a total creep to both his girlfriend and his random online hookup while being a complete moron…and, of course, dragging poor Craigslist down with him. But that’s the nature of the Craigies.

Congrats, Kevin!

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7,000,000,000

October 28, 2011

On October 31st, something scary is going to happen.  Shockingly, it isn’t related to Halloween either.  According to the United Nations, on October 31, 2011, the world’s population is set to hit 7 billion.  Sometime after midnight on Monday, somewhere in the world, the seven billionth child will be born.  This landmark will be reached far more quickly than expected, in part because life expectancy has increased in many countries, and more children are being born and surviving in the developing world.

If this trend continues as it is now, the population of the world will double by 2100.  14 billion people.  To mark this alarming event, the BBC has posted a calculator online that will tell you exactly where you fit into this whole equation.  For example, based on the day I was born I was the 4,769,330,291st person alive on Earth.  79,542,778,924 people had lived before me since history began.

The UN Population Division calculated these figures based on global population figures and by using an equation that estimates how many people have been alive since 50,000 B.C.

There have been ebbs and flows in the world’s population from antiquity until now.  The Great Famine in 1315 and the Bubonic Plague in 1350 were responsible for the deaths of millions of people (the Plague alone is estimated to have killed 75 million people).  After these two events, the global population has steadily risen ever since.

The huge population surge the world is experiencing is unsustainable.  Population expansion results in an increased need for resources.  Many of the resources required to sustain human populations are finite (water, arable land, fossil fuels) and are resulting in degradation of the ecosystem, rising levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide, global warming and pollution.

A large part of reasonably managing population involves practicing varying methods of population control.  Another component of this is technology.  New technologies can be developed that will help reverse, halt or forestall the trajectory of climate change; purify the oceans; give us a way to reuse and recycle garbage waste; and produce vehicles, homes and businesses that run on sustainable energy.

Technology is endlessly changing and tools are developed every day that were virtually unimaginable the day before.  With all the fantastic technology we have swirling around, there is certainly hope that collectively we can create sustainable solutions that will improve both our own lives and the environment.

Living in a globalized world, we have an amazing capacity to share information and ideas instantaneously.  Standing on the corner of basically anywhere we can make a phone call, send an email, snap a photo or shoot a video that can make it halfway around the world in a matter of seconds.  We can video chat immediately with people on other continents that speak different languages and have vastly different experiences than our own.

The challenges that go along with this type of rapid growth are many, but through collaboration and technological cultivation, we can hopefully find a solution that maintains, preserves and even strengthens the environment for our children and our children’s children.

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Apple Patents the Wheel

October 27, 2011

I’m glad the IVR market is too small to worry about patent wars, because I don’t know if I could deal. If another IVR company patented “the blog” or “the phone call” or “the lunch break,” we’d be in real trouble.

Apple just patented “touchscreen unlock gestures,” according to the BBC. You know, swiping, pattern entry, et cetera.

U.S. Patent Number 7657549—

“A device with a touch-sensitive display may be unlocked via gestures performed on the touch-sensitive display…The device is unlocked if contact with the display corresponds to a predefined gesture for unlocking the device.”

Are they flipping serious?

Not Apple, but the U.S. patent office. (Well, Apple too, but they’re just playing the game by the waaaay wonky rules the patent office has set.) But are they serious issuing a patent for this?

There are two things wrong with this picture. Well, there are a lot of things wrong with this picture, but two really stick in my craw (just for the record on that one, a craw is a bird’s throat, in case you didn’t know—I always wondered).

The first thing is, Apple applied for this patent in June 2009. It’s now two and a half years (and several iterations of smartphones from every company out there) later.

It’s too late. It’s like issuing a patent for the wheel. I think once a technology is around for long enough, no one should get a patent for it. This isn’t about protecting the little guy, it’s about providing weapons for big business—we’re getting too far away from the “intent of the law” type thing here.

And that’s the other thing. Sadly, it takes the U.S. patent office that long to issue a patent. Why? It’s kind of a moot point now that everybody is using the technology. The government can’t take that long to issue a patent because technologies are moving way too fast.

By now, all of Apple’s competitors have latched onto touchscreen security technology. They have them working in millions of phones already out in the marketplace.

It’s too late. You can’t retroactively punish everyone now. You can’t take phones off the shelves. You can’t hurt Motorola and Samsung and Nokia at this point.

But now Apple has more ammunition for what I think are frivolous lawsuits. That’s the only real result from this patent—more lawsuits.

Again, I’m glad the IVR industry is small enough that we’re not fighting each other in court all the time. And that no one has patented “the cup of coffee” yet.

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Our Web-Linked World

October 26, 2011

Two things strike me about Amy Winehouse’s toxicology report, which showed extreme blood alcohol levels. One, how it’s a shame. Two, how we all know about it.

First, it’s a tragedy. I won’t say much about that because loads of people have written about it. I’ll just say I think it’s tragic any time someone dies when they’re still young, and it’s hard to keep watching all these talented young artists (musicians, actors, writers, artists) lose their lives from alcohol and drugs.

Second, I’m divided about whether our instant access to information over the Internet is a positive thing or a negative thing. It seems like both.

Positive—

Instant access to news and information from all over the globe is really hard to argue against. And it’s getting more available and more reliable all the time.

When the Internet was still young, there was a lot of information on it, but most of that information was fodder (most of it still is, but there’s more good information now). Remember Wikipedia when it first came out and how unreliable it was? It’s kind of a microcosm of the whole thing…

While I wouldn’t say that Wikipedia is now an academic-level resource, it’s a whole lot more legit than it used to be. In fact, Google’s algorithm gives it a really high domain authority these days.

Negative—

Do we really need every college kid in America reading about Amy Winehouse’s blood alcohol level and using that as a gauge for their own drinking?

“Dude, you can get way more wasted than .08. Amy Winehouse was like .4 or something ridiculous.”

In fact, Winehouse’s blood alcohol level was .416, according to the BBC. It’s an astounding figure, actually—the pathologist who performed her post-mortem told the BBC that .350 could have killed her. Supposedly, there were three empty bottles of vodka in her apartment.

Looking back at my own college days, I remember thinking it was romantic or something when I saw The Doors and how Jim Morrison had supposedly died in the bathtub of an apartment in Paris.

Stupid but true. And I imagine I would have thought Amy Winehouse’s death was somehow tragically romantic. And I might have even stopped worrying about drinking too much, knowing it would take a ton (.350, or like 17 drinks) to really hurt me. Again, stupid.

Of course, when I was still in school, we didn’t have the Internet really, so I would have had to read a newspaper to hear about Winehouse’s toxicology report. When I was still in high school or younger, I probably wouldn’t have heard about it at all.

Not so now. Every kid in the world with Internet access knows exactly how much alcohol it took to take Amy Winehouse’s life. That’s just our world today, good or bad. Or good and bad.

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Netflix Shocker!

October 25, 2011

“Netflix’s stock dropped? No way.” (Read monotone.)

Of course as soon as I finally get hooked on Netflix the company starts to slide. After losing some 800,000 customers in Q3 because of questionable pricing and organizational shenanigans, Netflix’s stock is dropping. Go figure.

I’m sure it’s not funny or ironic to the company’s investors, but it is to me. Not that the company is struggling, but the way it all went down. In this latest episode, they announced the customer losses, and their stock immediately dropped by a third.

Not that we couldn’t see this coming after all the hullaballoo in the spring and summer. First they jacked up the prices, as much as 60% for some services. Then they announced they were splitting their DVD-by-mail and streaming services into two separate companies. Then they nixed that idea when customers went ballistic.

Raising prices: bad idea for customer satisfaction. Splitting into two companies: good idea if Netflix is trying to sell off its DVD-by-mail service (yesterday’s news) in favor of streaming only (tomorrow’s news), but a bad idea for customer satisfaction.

So, for me, this is how things went…

I signed up for Netflix and like a month later the price went up. It was only a few bucks a month and I wasn’t accustomed to one price yet, so it didn’t chafe me as much as long-time Netflix customers, but still.

Then a couple months later the company said it was splitting, which meant customers would need one account for DVD-by-mail and another account for streaming. Two accounts, two passwords, two bills. Needless to say, there were tantrums.

Again, for me, the separate accounts thing wouldn’t have been a big deal because I only get the DVDs so far, not streaming (I hate it when the video hangs up when watching streaming video).

That’s why it’s still ironic and funny to me—because it didn’t affect me enough to get my panties in a bunch. But in all likelihood I’ll probably have to jump through hoops if/when Netflix sells the DVD side of things.

In any case…(and please read hysterical, raging monotone in this)…“OMG, Netflix’s stock dropped. No way. I can’t believe it. This changes absolutely everything.”

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The State of the Internet

October 25, 2011

Quarterly Akamai, an Internet performance management company, releases reports detailing worldwide Internet connection statistics. Akamai gathers data over a global server network and releases country-by-country statistics based on variables like peak connection speed, high and low broadband adoption, average connection speed, and statistics on possible Internet attacks.

I have written about the geographic distribution of Internet speed, both nationally and internationally before (Link to http://www.plumvoice.com/blog/the-internet-worldwide), but the figures just released update the previous data and show some sweeping changes from just a little over a month ago.

Akamai tracked web traffic originating from 192 unique countries around the world. According to ReadWrite Web, Taiwan was the top attack traffic source with about 10% of total attack traffic originating from the country. Burma (Myanmar) and the United States held the second and third places.

How about the places most rapidly acquiring high-speed broadband connections? Last time around South Korea won the title, but this time The Netherlands comes in first in terms of high-speed broadband connectivity per capita. Interestingly enough Hong Kong, South Korea, Belgium, Latvia, Japan, Czech Republic, Romania, Denmark, and Switzerland round out the top ten countries claiming the highest percentage and frequency of high-speed broadband connections. For everyone wondering, the US places thirteenth on the list.

In the US, Rhode Island usurped the fastest connection speed title from Delaware to become number one. Delaware came in second followed by DC, Utah, Vermont, California, New Hampshire, Virginia, Washington, and New York. Aside from Utah, whose connectivity increased on both the quarter and the year, the highest Internet speeds are primarily found on the coasts. In terms of city by city breakdown, 6 of the top 10 cities with the fastest connection speeds are in California, and more than that, in Northern California.

In terms of global connectivity worldwide, the US doesn’t even crack the top ten cities. A majority of the top ten are Japanese cities punctuated by an occasional South Korean city. A huge number of cities with the fastest connectivity are in Asia, and the US’s first mention comes in at 29th with San Jose, CA. However, the inclusion of San Jose might be skewed owing to the fact that the city is located smack dab in the middle of Silicon Valley and much of the connectivity in the city is due to a network of pipelines powering large tech companies as opposed to personal high speed Internet connections.

Much like the last report, this report on the global status of the Internet shows that the Asian and European countries have managed to establish the highest functioning, reliable wireless networks as part of their infrastructure countrywide. This could be because they occupy a smaller amount of physical surface area, making connectivity by proximity much easier to achieve, but it also shows that the U S is lagging when it comes to establishing tech infrastructure, and has room for improvement in terms of technology distribution.

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